Miami (FL) vs Florida State 11/12/2011

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Florida State is a heavy favorite winning 78% of simulations over Miami (FL). EJ Manuel is averaging 251 passing yards and 1.8 TDs per simulation and Devonta Freeman is projected for 54 rushing yards and a 49% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 22% of simulations where Miami (FL) wins, Jacory Harris averages 2.45 TD passes vs 0.69 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 1.18 TDs to 1.04 interceptions. Lamar Miller averages 106 rushing yards and 0.86 rushing TDs when Miami (FL) wins and 95 yards and 0.47 TDs in losses. Florida State has a 37% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 89% of the time. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is FLAST -9.5

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